Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 4

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Cerro del Espino (Majadahonda)


	Rayo Majadahonda		San Sebastian Reyes

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3
				Watch
	2.32	2.92	2.92
	2.38	3.04	3.1
	2.44	2.99	2.96
	2.8	3.05	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.83)	3 ↓ (3.02)	2.87 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Majadahonda
37.5%

Draw
30.6%

San Sebastian Reyes
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

30.1%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

30.7%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Majadahonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rayo Majadahonda's performance.

San Sebastian Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Sebastian Reyes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Sebastian Reyes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rayo Majadahonda - San Sebastian Reyes Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Rayo Majadahonda (1.72) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rayo Majadahonda (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Ruiz F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Anieboh M. 🟥,
55', 1 - 1, Faure I. ⚽,
86', 2 - 1, Faure I. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Majadahonda won 3.

In recent matches, Rayo Majadahonda has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

SS Reyes is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

SS Reyes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Rayo Majadahonda has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Rayo Majadahonda won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Majadahonda won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.5:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.09.25	Las Palmas B - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Conquense - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.25	Valladolid B - Rayo Majadahonda	1:1 ✺
20.08.25	Real Ávila - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTWTL
- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.09.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Navalcarnero	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
17.09.25	Varea - San Sebastian Reyes	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.09.25	Fuenlabrada - San Sebastian Reyes	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
10.09.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Alfaro	1:0 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.09.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Alcalá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.04.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Rayo Majadahonda	2:0
24.11.24	Rayo Majadahonda - San Sebastian Reyes	2:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.05.23	Rayo Majadahonda - San Sebastian Reyes	2:2
08.01.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Rayo Majadahonda	1:2
Club Friendly
23.07.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.05.22	Rayo Majadahonda - San Sebastian Reyes	1:0
12.09.21	San Sebastian Reyes - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1

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