Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid)

Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	ZhiBo8


	Rayo Vallecano		Neman Grodno

	1	X	2
	1.18	5.75	13	Watch
	1.12	8.25	16.5
	1.15	6.4	16.5	Watch
	1.18	6.64	16.53
	1.23	5.99	10.81	Watch
	1.2	5.5	13
	1.18	6.74	16.8	Watch
	1.12	7	21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↑ (1.11)	6.53 ↓ (7)	15.52 ↓ (21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano
79.7%

Draw
14.3%

Neman Grodno
6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.5%

13.1%

4.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Neman Grodno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	15.8%	5.3%

Rayo Vallecano - Neman Grodno Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 15 - 83.3%). Neman will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 66.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Rayo Vallecano (1.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 - Neman (1.52) (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rayo Vallecano will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Neman (votes: 5 - 38.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Batalla A. (G) 20. Balliu I. 24. Lejeune F. 33. Vertrouwd J. 22. Pacha 8. Trejo O. 23. Valentin O. (C) 15. Gumbau G. 21. Perez F. 11. Nteka R. 10. Camello S.	12. Belov M. (G) 8. Pantya Y. 20. Sadovnichiy I. (C) 5. Parkhomenko E. 27. Shamurzaev A. 47. Kozlov M. 6. Nazarenko A. 15. Evdokimov O. 17. Zubovich E. 71. Suchkov A. 9. Pushnyakov S.
Substitutes
28. Becerra S. 1. Cardenas D. (G) 3. Chavarria P. 6. Ciss P. 19. de Frutos J. 26. de las Sias M. 4. Diaz P. 27. Fernandez P. 18. Garcia A. 17. Lopez U. 7. Palazon I. 2. Ratiu A.	30. Ahmedi V. 99. Borubaev G. 11. Gavrilov Y. 7. Klochkov Y. 18. Kravtsov M. 19. Kuchinskiy K. 46. Legchilin A. 1. Malievskiy A. (G) 32. Pavlyukovets Y. 88. Savitskiy P. 50. Shalashnikov A. 24. Yakimov A.
Coaches
Perez I.	Kovalevich I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Evdokimov O. 🟨,
33', Gumbau G. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Gumbau G. ↓, Lopez U. ↑,
53', Shamurzaev A. 🟨,
60', Nteka R. ↓, de Frutos J. ↑,
60', Perez F. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
61', Zubovich E. ↓, Savitskiy P. ↑,
61', Suchkov A. ↓, Klochkov Y. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Garcia A. ⚽, de Frutos J. (A),
65', 2 - 0, Camello S. ⚽, Garcia A. (A),
67', Trejo O. ↓, Palazon I. ↑,
77', Pushnyakov S. ↓, Yakimov A. ↑,
80', 3 - 0, de Frutos J. ⚽, Lopez U. (A),
82', Kozlov M. ↓, Ahmedi V. ↑,
82', Evdokimov O. ↓, Borubaev G. ↑,
83', Lejeune F. ↓, Fernandez P. ↑,
89', 4 - 0, Garcia A. ⚽, de Frutos J. (A),

Preview

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Rayo Vallecano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Rayo Vallecano has had a series of away games.

In this match, Rayo Vallecano is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rayo Vallecano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga
25.08.25	Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Neman Grodno - Rayo Vallecano	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
15.08.25	Girona - Rayo Vallecano	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Sunderland - Rayo Vallecano	0:3 ✺
02.08.25	West Bromwich Albion - Rayo Vallecano	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWWL
- FC Neman Grodno
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Neman Grodno - Rayo Vallecano	0:1 ✺
14.08.25	Neman Grodno - KÍ Klaksvík	3:0 penalties ✺
05.08.25	KÍ Klaksvík - Neman Grodno	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Neman Grodno - MFK Košice	1:1 ✺
24.07.25	MFK Košice - Neman Grodno	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Neman Grodno - Rayo Vallecano	0:1

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