The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rayo Vallecano 46%
Draw 25.9%
Villarreal 28.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.4%
26.1%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.8%
18.8%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rayo Vallecano's performance.
Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villarreal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Vallecano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Rayo Vallecano is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Villarreal has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Rayo Vallecano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Rayo Vallecano will have a small advantage in this match.