Match Info

SPAIN: Liga F Women - Round 24

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Ciudad Deportiva del Villareal (Villarreal)

Referee: Gallastegui A. (Esp)


	Villarreal		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.3	1.95
	3.25	3.4	2	Watch
	3.55	3.58	2.06
	3.55	3.58	2.04
	3.4	3.49	2
	3.35	3.45	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (3.2)	3.47 ↑ (3.39)	2 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal
27.3%

Draw
26.6%

Sevilla
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

27.3%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

28.2%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Villarreal - Sevilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Carbonell C. (G) 14. Perez Machado N. 8. Campo A. (C) 3. Cubedo C. 15. Lara F. 7. Gomez L. 28. Romero M. 18. Soldevila P. 11. Bicho 6. Llompart Pons M. 12. McKenna K. J.	1. Sullastres E. (G) 12. Rodriguez Herrero L. M. 5. Llamas E. 14. Martin N. 17. Garcia D. 21. Gili Giner G. 18. Cahynova K. 8. Sampedro A. (C) 11. Oyedupe Payne A. 19. Martin-Prieto Gutierrez C. 10. Gabarro I.
Substitutes
1. Del Toro E. (G) 17. Garcia R. 16. Gomez Q. 9. Morato T. 20. Morcillo R. 26. Querol Gil M. 30. Romero L.	13. Aguirre Y. (G) 20. Aparicio A. 29. Cerrato A. 3. Gomes D. 6. Gonzalez P. 30. Lopez A. 4. Merida T. 7. Otermin R. 16. Perez M.
Coaches
Monforte S.	Toro C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Sampedro A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 0, McKenna K. J. ⚽, Lara F. (A),
50', 1 - 1, Gabarro I. ⚽, Oyedupe Payne A. (A),
57', Lara F. ↓, Morcillo R. ↑,
59', Rodriguez Herrero L. M. ↓, Otermin R. ↑,
71', Llompart Pons M. 🟨,
73', 1 - 2, Gili Giner G. (Pen),
74', Romero M. ↓, Morato T. ↑,
81', Soldevila P. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
81', Sampedro A. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
81', Gili Giner G. ↓, Gonzalez P. ↑,
88', Gabarro I. ↓, Cerrato A. ↑,
89', Oyedupe Payne A. ↓, Aparicio A. ↑,
90+3', Martin N. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Villarreal won 1.

Villarreal is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sevilla is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sevilla will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Villarreal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Villarreal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF Women
Spanish Liga F Women
13.04.24	Barcelona - Villarreal	5:1 ✺
30.03.24	Villarreal - Real Madrid	0:2 ✺
24.03.24	Badalona - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Villarreal - Madrid CFF	1:4 ✺
09.03.24	Tenerife - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLTLT
- Sevilla FC Women
Spanish Liga F Women
13.04.24	Eibar - Sevilla	3:0 ✺
30.03.24	Sevilla - Real Sociedad	4:2 ✺
23.03.24	Tenerife - Sevilla	5:0 ✺
16.03.24	Sevilla - Badalona	3:0 ✺
09.03.24	Sevilla - Real Madrid	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
20.01.24	Sevilla - Villarreal	3:1
05.02.23	Sevilla - Villarreal	1:0
Spanish Copa De La Reina
10.01.23	Villarreal - Sevilla	0:1
Spanish Liga F Women
16.10.22	Villarreal - Sevilla	0:5
02.02.22	Sevilla - Villarreal	0:3
14.11.21	Villarreal - Sevilla	2:3

Villarreal - Sevilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide