Match Info

SPAIN: Liga F Women - Round 26

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama)

Referee: Gonzalez Z. (Esp)


	Athletic Bilbao		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	5.25
	1.52	4.2	5	Watch
	1.52	4.31	5.96
	1.56	4.67	4.67
	1.45	4.1	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.46)	4.24 ↑ (4.15)	5.38 ↓ (6.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao
61.1%

Draw
21.8%

Villarreal
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

22.3%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

20.6%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Bilbao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Nanclares A. (G) 20. Elexpuru A. 2. Torre Larranaga M. 21. Bibi 17. Nevado N. 23. Zugasti P. 15. Pinedo C. 6. Oguiza I. 19. Cerro M. 11. Azcona A. 7. Garcia N.	13. Carbonell C. (G) 20. Morcillo R. 8. Campo A. (C) 3. Cubedo C. 7. Gomez L. 6. Llompart Pons M. 18. Soldevila P. 11. Bicho 30. Romero L. 12. McKenna K. J. 10. Kanteh Cham F.
Substitutes
31. Amezaga J. 10. Arana P. 12. Facila G. 3. Landaluce N. 4. Murua G. 27. Ortega S. 1. Quinones Goikoetxea M. A. (G) 24. Sanadri 16. Zubieta M.	1. Del Toro E. (G) 17. Garcia R. 5. Gimenez Y. 15. Lara F. 9. Morato T. 28. Romero M. 22. Thais
Coaches
Aznar D.	Monforte S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Garcia N. ⚽,
21', Bicho 🟨,
44', Garcia N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Gomez L. 🟨,
52', Bicho 🟨,
64', Zugasti P. ↓, Sanadri ↑,
65', Oguiza I. ↓, Zubieta M. ↑,
65', Pinedo C. ↓, Ortega S. ↑,
68', Romero L. ↓, Gimenez Y. ↑,
76', Kanteh Cham F. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
79', Elexpuru A. ↓, Landaluce N. ↑,
79', Azcona A. ↓, Amezaga J. ↑,
81', Gomez L. ↓, Thais ↑,
81', Llompart Pons M. ↓, Romero M. ↑,
86', Nevado N. 🟨,
88', Soldevila P. 🟨,

Preview

Athletic is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Villarreal has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Athletic is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Athletic to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletic won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Athletic won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao Women
Spanish Liga F Women
28.04.24	Eibar - Athletic Bilbao	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	Madrid CFF - Athletic Bilbao	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid	1:0 ✺
31.03.24	Athletic Bilbao - Badalona	4:1 ✺
23.03.24	Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLWWW
- Villarreal CF Women
Spanish Liga F Women
27.04.24	Villarreal - Granada	1:2 ✺
21.04.24	Villarreal - Sevilla	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Barcelona - Villarreal	5:1 ✺
30.03.24	Villarreal - Real Madrid	0:2 ✺
24.03.24	Badalona - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
14.10.23	Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao	3:0
20.05.23	Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal	1:1
26.11.22	Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao	1:6
26.03.22	Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao	1:1
17.10.21	Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal	2:1

Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide