Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 23

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday


	Rayo Vallecano B		Pozuelo de Alarcón

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.13	3.05	3.25
	2.11	3.18	3.24
	2.15	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.12)	3.11 ↑ (3.11)	3.2 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano B
42.5%

Draw
29.1%

Pozuelo de Alarcón
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

29.2%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

24%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Pozuelo de Alarcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano B than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rayo Vallecano B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pozuelo de Alarcón than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pozuelo de Alarcón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano B won 3.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Rayo Vallecano B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rayo Vallecano B will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano B won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Vallecano B won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
25.02.24	Galapagar - Rayo Vallecano B	2:2 ✺
17.02.24	Rayo Vallecano B - Paracuellos Antamira	1:3 ✺
10.02.24	Leganés B - Rayo Vallecano B	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Rayo Vallecano B - Tres Cantos	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	Parla - Rayo Vallecano B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLLWL
- CF Pozuelo de Alarcón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
25.02.24	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Paracuellos Antamira	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Tres Cantos - Pozuelo de Alarcón	3:0 ✺
11.02.24	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Canillas	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Siello - Pozuelo de Alarcón	2:2 ✺
28.01.24	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Colonia Moscardó	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
15.10.23	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Rayo Vallecano B	0:3
23.04.23	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Rayo Vallecano B	3:0
08.01.23	Rayo Vallecano B - Pozuelo de Alarcón	3:1
12.02.22	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Rayo Vallecano B	0:2
09.10.21	Rayo Vallecano B - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:1
21.03.21	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Rayo Vallecano B	1:5
01.12.19	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Rayo Vallecano B	0:1

Rayo Vallecano B - Pozuelo de Alarcón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide