Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 5

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Rayong Provincial Stadium (Rayong)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Rayong FC		Ayutthaya United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.18	3.4	2.82
	2.31	3.6	2.94
	2.33	2.90	3.26	Watch
	2.22	3.63	2.92	Watch
	1.96	3.5	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.98)	3.41 ↓ (3.49)	3.03 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayong FC
42.2%

Draw
27.2%

Ayutthaya United
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

26%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

25.1%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayong FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Ayutthaya United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayong FC than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayong FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayutthaya United than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Rayong FC - Ayutthaya United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Ayutthaya United (2.14) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0, 1st Half - Rayong FC (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Rayong FC (votes: 1 - 25%). Ayutthaya United (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Srisupha W. (G) 35. Nontharath K. 55. Filipovic V. 14. Cebara S. 31. Harape P. 22. Ratree S. 15. Sontisawat S. 88. Ott Ma. 90. Kaminthong P. 18. Junior S. (C) 7. Sarakham M.	1. Makemusik W. (G) 5. Changthong A. 6. Wellington Priori (C) 2. Hwang Hyun-Soo 62. Doloh A. 36. Islame Y. 23. Biaothungoi P. 8. Worasut N. 10. Diego Carioca 77. Caique Lemes 22. Pombuppha C.
Substitutes
8. Aleman K. 54. Boonkerd C. (G) 30. Ganthong W. (G) 13. Hempandan T. 74. Ittiprasert P. 93. Junior 33. Kullapha K. 10. Kunmee S. 5. Phusirit W. 19. Romphopak S. 80. Withunat W.	7. Bunsan K. 9. Conrado 57. De Bruycker D. 29. Dechmitr S. 19. Kaewcharoen N. 37. Kasemkulwirai P. 17. Laptrakul C. 25. Naengwongsa N. (G) 31. Noichernphan A. 26. Sataporn W. 3. Sawatlakhorn W. 14. Yaidee K.
Coaches
Punpee J.	Siriwattanasart J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Hwang Hyun-Soo ⚽, Doloh A. (A),
24', Changthong A. 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Ratree S. ⚽, Junior S. (A),
41', Wellington Priori ↓, Sataporn W. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Harape P. ↓, Kullapha K. ↑,
46', Changthong A. ↓, Yaidee K. ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Islame Y. ⚽,
64', Biaothungoi P. ↓, De Bruycker D. ↑,
64', Worasut N. ↓, Conrado ↑,
64', Sarakham M. ↓, Aleman K. ↑,
64', Kaminthong P. ↓, Hempandan T. ↑,
67', Makemusik W. 🟨,
70', Aleman K. 🟨,
77', Nontharath K. ↓, Romphopak S. ↑,
79', Ratree S. ↓, Junior ↑,
80', Doloh A. ↓, Bunsan K. ↑,
88', Bunsan K. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 2, Ott Ma. ⚽,
90+8', Sontisawat S. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayong FC won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Rayong FC could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Rayong FC won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rayong FC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayong FC
Thai League 1
14.09.25	Rayong FC - Muangthong United	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Thai Port - Rayong FC	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Rayong FC - Nakhon Ratchasima	1:2 ✺
17.08.25	Bangkok United - Rayong FC	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Buriram United - Rayong FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WTLLT
- Ayutthaya United
Thai League 1
14.09.25	Ayutthaya United - Chiangrai United	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Uthai Thani - Ayutthaya United	1:4 ✺
23.08.25	Ayutthaya United - Muangthong United	2:2 ✺
17.08.25	Thai Port - Ayutthaya United	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.07.25	Ayutthaya United - Buriram United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
12.05.24	Rayong FC - Ayutthaya United	4:1 ET
05.05.24	Ayutthaya United - Rayong FC	2:1
10.02.24	Ayutthaya United - Rayong FC	1:2
08.10.23	Rayong FC - Ayutthaya United	0:1
12.03.23	Ayutthaya United - Rayong FC	1:1
30.10.22	Rayong FC - Ayutthaya United	0:1
19.03.22	Rayong FC - Ayutthaya United	0:1

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