Match Info

ENGLAND: WOMEN’S SUPER LEAGUE

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Select Car Leasing Stadium (Reading)

Referee: Byrne A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport


	Reading		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	5	4.33	1.46
	5.79	4.6	1.47
	5.5	4	1.5
	5	4.4	1.52
	5	4.4	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.26 ↑ (3.01)	4.35 ↑ (3.75)	1.49 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reading
17.4%

Draw
21%

Aston Villa
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

24.2%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

24.2%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reading's form might have worsened.

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aston Villa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reading, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aston Villa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Reading - Aston Villa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Women’s Championship and 5).

Reading has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aston Villa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aston Villa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Aston Villa have a series of home games.

In this match Aston Villa is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Reading won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Reading won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading FC Women
English WSL
30.04.23	Manchester City - Reading	4:1 ✺
23.04.23	Reading - Everton	2:3 ✺
02.04.23	Leicester City - Reading	2:1 ✺
26.03.23	Reading - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup Women
19.03.23	Reading - Chelsea	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Aston Villa LFC
English WSL
28.04.23	Aston Villa - Manchester United	2:3 ✺
23.04.23	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	3:3 ✺
English FA Cup Women
16.04.23	Aston Villa - Chelsea	0:1 ✺
English WSL
02.04.23	Aston Villa - Chelsea	0:3 ✺
26.03.23	Aston Villa - Leicester City	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English WSL
20.11.22	Aston Villa - Reading	3:1
26.03.22	Aston Villa - Reading	1:1
10.10.21	Reading - Aston Villa	3:0
23.01.21	Aston Villa - Reading	2:2
13.09.20	Reading - Aston Villa	3:1

Reading - Aston Villa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide