Match Info

Date: 14 February 2022, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Reading U23		Derby County U23

	1	X	2
	3.9	4.6	1.55
	4.5	4.1	1.55
	4.3	4	1.55
	4.37	4.59	1.62
	4.5	4	1.55
	4.45	4.5	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↓ (4.56)	4.3 ↑ (4.1)	1.56 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reading U23
20.9%

Draw
21.1%

Derby County U23
58%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.9%

22.2%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2%

18.1%

71%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Derby County U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading U23 than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U23 than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derby County U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Reading U23 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Derby U23 is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Derby U23 is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Reading U23 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Reading U23 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading U23
English Premier League 2
07.02.22	Reading U23 - Stoke City U23	1:1 ✺
24.01.22	Aston Villa U23 - Reading U23	4:1 ✺
English Premier League Cup
17.01.22	Norwich City U23 - Reading U23	3:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
14.01.22	Reading U23 - Newcastle Utd U23	1:4 ✺
10.01.22	Sunderland U23 - Reading U23	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLLLL
- Derby County U23
English Premier League 2
07.02.22	Derby County U23 - Manchester City U23	0:5 ✺
21.01.22	Derby County U23 - Arsenal U23	1:1 ✺
17.01.22	Leeds United U23 - Derby County U23	2:0 ✺
English Premier League Cup
14.01.22	Charlton Athletic U23 - Derby County U23	1:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
10.01.22	Derby County U23 - Liverpool U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League Cup
15.11.21	Derby County U23 - Reading U23	2:1
English Premier League 2
30.01.17	Reading U23 - Derby County U23	3:3
26.09.16	Derby County U23 - Reading U23	2:1

Reading U23 - Derby County U23

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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