Match Info
Date: 14 February 2022, Monday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Reading U23 |
|
Derby County U23 |
|
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.9 |
4.6 |
1.55 |
|
 |
4.5 |
4.1 |
1.55 |
|
 |
4.3 |
4 |
1.55 |
|
 |
4.37 |
4.59 |
1.62 |
|
 |
4.5 |
4 |
1.55 |
|
 |
4.45 |
4.5 |
1.56 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.34 ↓
(4.56) |
4.3 ↑
(4.1) |
1.56 ↓
(1.57) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Reading U23
20.9% | Draw
21.1% | Derby County U23
58% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reading U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Derby County U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading U23 than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U23 than the current prediction. (+13%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derby County U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Preview
Reading U23 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0). Derby U23 is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). In this match Derby U23 is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Reading U23 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7. Including matches at home between the teams Reading U23 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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