Match Info

Date: 17 January 2022, Monday


	Leeds United U23		Derby County U23

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.7	2.75
	2.1	3.8	2.7
	2.04	3.55	2.75
	2.16	3.82	2.83
	2.2	3.5	2.6
	2.16	3.9	2.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.93)	3.71 ↓ (3.95)	2.73 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leeds United U23
42.6%

Draw
24.3%

Derby County U23
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

23.2%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

15.7%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Derby County U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United U23 than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leeds United U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U23 than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derby County U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leeds United U23 - Derby County U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Recent matches Leeds U23 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Derby U23 is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Leeds U23 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Leeds U23 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Leeds U23 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United U23
English Premier League Cup
14.01.22	Wigan Athletic U23 - Leeds United U23	1:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
10.01.22	West Ham United U23 - Leeds United U23	3:0 ✺
English Premier League Cup
05.01.22	Leeds United U23 - Sunderland U23	3:3 ✺
English Premier League 2
20.12.21	Leeds United U23 - Everton U23	0:0 ✺
03.12.21	Leeds United U23 - Leicester City U23	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLTTL
- Derby County U23
English Premier League Cup
14.01.22	Charlton Athletic U23 - Derby County U23	1:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
10.01.22	Derby County U23 - Liverpool U23	0:1 ✺
English Premier League Cup
13.12.21	Derby County U23 - Norwich City U23	5:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
03.12.21	Derby County U23 - Chelsea U23	3:1 ✺
26.11.21	Arsenal U23 - Derby County U23	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League 2
27.08.21	Derby County U23 - Leeds United U23	2:3
English Premier League Cup
07.02.20	Leeds United U23 - Derby County U23	1:2
13.11.19	Derby County U23 - Leeds United U23	7:1

Leeds United U23 - Derby County U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide