Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday


	Real Ávila		Escobedo

	1	X	2
	1.88	2.85	4.2
	1.87	3	4.75
	1.94	3.03	4.68
	1.84	3.1	4.72
	1.93	2.9	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.26)	2.98 ↓ (3.06)	4.51 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Ávila
48.7%

Draw
30.9%

Escobedo
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

30.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

29.2%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Ávila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Ávila's performance.

Escobedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Escobedo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Ávila that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Escobedo than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Escobedo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Ávila - Escobedo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Sazatronil M. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Real Ávila is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Escobedo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Escobedo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Real Ávila have a series of guest games.

Recently Escobedo have a series of home games.

Real Ávila will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Ávila
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.09.24	Marino de Luanco - Real Ávila	0:1 ✺
08.09.24	Real Ávila - Langreo	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Deportivo A Coruña B - Real Ávila	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Real Ávila	2:1 ✺
18.08.24	Palencia CA - Real Ávila	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WTWLL
- UM Escobedo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.09.24	Escobedo - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Laredo - Escobedo	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Escobedo - Salamanca	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.08.24	Escobedo - Leioa	2:2 ✺
16.08.24	Escobedo - Rayo Cantabria	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLTTL

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