Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 12

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Escobedo		Rayo Cantabria

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	1.95
	3.75	3.2	1.92
	4.43	3.19	1.9
	3.89	3.13	1.96	Watch
	4.03	3.28	1.89
	3.75	3.2	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (3.03)	3.18 ↑ (2.99)	1.92 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Escobedo
23.6%

Draw
28.8%

Rayo Cantabria
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

30.9%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

30.7%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Escobedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Escobedo's form might have worsened.

Rayo Cantabria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rayo Cantabria's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Escobedo than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Escobedo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Cantabria than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rayo Cantabria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Escobedo - Rayo Cantabria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
35', 0 - 1, Baldrich S. ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, Perez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
53', 0 - 3, Gomeza I. ⚽,
69', 0 - 4, Diaz D. ⚽,
71', 0 - 5, Gonzalez D. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Escobedo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Rayo Cantabria is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rayo Cantabria will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Escobedo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Escobedo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UM Escobedo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.11.24	Numancia - Escobedo	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Marino de Luanco - Escobedo	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Escobedo - Ponferradina	0:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.10.24	Escobedo - Langreo	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Deportivo A Coruña B - Escobedo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TTLLL
- Deportivo Rayo Cantabria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.11.24	Rayo Cantabria - Marino de Luanco	4:2 ✺
03.11.24	Langreo - Rayo Cantabria	0:2 ✺
26.10.24	Rayo Cantabria - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Pontevedra - Rayo Cantabria	2:1 ✺
13.10.24	Rayo Cantabria - Compostela	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
16.08.24	Escobedo - Rayo Cantabria	0:3
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
23.09.17	Escobedo - Rayo Cantabria	2:1

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