The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Ávila 45.1%
Draw 28.5%
Gimnástica Segoviana 26.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
28.4%
28%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
28%
27.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Ávila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Real Ávila - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', 1 - 0, Urbina G. L. ⚽,
85', 1 - 1, Castro A. ⚽,
90', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Ávila won 2.
Real Ávila has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
G Segoviana has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Real Ávila will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Real Ávila won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Ávila won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Gimnástica Segoviana - the odds 3.23 are the expected chance of winning is 27.95%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Spain
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