Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 28

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Real Ávila		Marino de Luanco

	1	X	2
	1.88	3	3.8
	1.98	3	3.65
	1.98	3.06	4.18
	1.93	3.13	4	Watch
	1.95	2.9	3.9
	1.89	2.94	4.35
	1.85	3.15	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.84)	3.03 ↓ (3.13)	3.98 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Ávila
47.2%

Draw
30%

Marino de Luanco
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

29%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

28.1%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Ávila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Marino de Luanco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Real Ávila - Marino de Luanco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, Serrano Iranzo G. ⚽,
67', 1 - 1, ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Real Ávila is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Marino de Luanco's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Real Ávila is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Ávila won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Real Ávila won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Ávila
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.03.26	Real Oviedo B - Real Ávila	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Real Ávila - Sarriana	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Real Ávila - Coruxo	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Burgos Promesas - Real Ávila	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Real Ávila - Salamanca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTWWL
- Marino de Luanco
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.03.26	Marino de Luanco - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Atlético Astorga - Marino de Luanco	3:0 ✺
04.03.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Marino de Luanco	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Marino de Luanco - Valladolid B	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Salamanca - Marino de Luanco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
30.11.25	Marino de Luanco - Real Ávila	1:0
26.01.25	Real Ávila - Marino de Luanco	1:0
15.09.24	Marino de Luanco - Real Ávila	0:1

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