Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Real Ávila		Langreo

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.15	3.8
	1.84	3.35	4.44
	1.8	3.37	4.26	Watch
	1.8	3.2	4
	1.75	3.28	4.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.82)	3.27 ↑ (3.18)	4.21 ↓ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Ávila
50.4%

Draw
27.9%

Langreo
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

28.9%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

26.9%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Ávila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Langreo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Langreo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Real Ávila - Langreo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Gonzalez B. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Carrion A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 12).

Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.

In this match, Real Ávila is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Ávila won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Real Ávila won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Real Ávila - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.52%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Ávila
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.03.26	Sámano - Real Ávila	0:4 ✺
21.03.26	Real Ávila - Marino de Luanco	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Real Oviedo B - Real Ávila	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Real Ávila - Sarriana	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Real Ávila - Coruxo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWTW
- UP Langreo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.03.26	Langreo - Salamanca	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Sarriana - Langreo	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Langreo - UD Ourense	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Coruxo - Langreo	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Langreo - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
20.09.25	Langreo - Real Ávila	1:2
19.01.25	Langreo - Real Ávila	0:1
08.09.24	Real Ávila - Langreo	0:0

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