Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 26

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	18:00	Footballclub


	Real Ávila		Sarriana

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.35	4.05
	1.75	3.5	4.7
	1.72	3.57	4.43	Watch
	1.75	3.2	4.4
	1.78	3.66	4.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.66)	3.46 ↓ (3.47)	4.37 ↓ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Ávila
52.4%

Draw
26.6%

Sarriana
21%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.5%

26.1%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

20.8%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Ávila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Sarriana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Ávila that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarriana than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Real Ávila - Sarriana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Real Ávila has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sarriana is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Real Ávila is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Ávila won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Ávila
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.02.26	Real Ávila - Coruxo	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Burgos Promesas - Real Ávila	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Real Ávila - Salamanca	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Valladolid B - Real Ávila	7:2 ✺
01.02.26	Real Ávila - Atlético Astorga	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLL
- SD Sarriana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.03.26	Sarriana - UD Ourense	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Coruxo - Sarriana	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Sarriana - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - Sarriana	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Sarriana - Valladolid B	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
02.11.25	Sarriana - Real Ávila	2:0

Real Ávila - Sarriana