The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Ávila 31.3%
Draw 30.4%
Numancia 38.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
27.9%
29.1%
43%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.3%
28.5%
43.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Ávila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Numancia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Real Ávila - Numancia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 11th and 3rd in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs).
Real Ávila has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Numancia is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Real Ávila has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:4 (averaging 0.3:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Real Ávila against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals (averaging 0:0 per game).
Spain
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