Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Real Apodaca		Deportiva Venados

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.39	3.84
	1.81	3.46	4.05	Watch
	1.8	3.25	4
	1.76	3.44	4.13
	1.76	3.6	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.76)	3.43 ↓ (3.6)	3.92 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Apodaca
50.7%

Draw
26.3%

Deportiva Venados
23%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.6%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Apodaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Deportiva Venados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Apodaca than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportiva Venados than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Real Apodaca - Deportiva Venados Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 4)
2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
4', 0 - 2, ⚽,
7', 1 - 2, ⚽,
9', 1 - 3, ⚽,
30', 🟥,
38', 1 - 4, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Deportiva Venados may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Deportiva Venados has had a series of home games.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Apodaca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Apodaca
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
30.04.26	Deportiva Venados - Real Apodaca	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Real Apodaca - Inter Playa Del Carmen	3:1 ✺
23.04.26	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Real Apodaca	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Real Apodaca - Atlético Hidalgo	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Cordobés - Real Apodaca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWTWW
- Deportiva Venados
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
30.04.26	Deportiva Venados - Real Apodaca	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Deportiva Venados - Tritones Vallarta	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Tritones Vallarta - Deportiva Venados	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Deportiva Venados - Club Calor	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Deportiva Venados - Neza	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
30.04.26	Deportiva Venados - Real Apodaca	1:1

Real Apodaca - Deportiva Venados