Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Deportiva Venados		Tritones Vallarta

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.06	5.66
	1.47	4.31	5.77	Watch
	1.44	3.75	6
	1.43	4.05	6.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.48)	4.04 ↑ (4)	5.97 ↓ (6.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportiva Venados
62.5%

Draw
22.4%

Tritones Vallarta
15.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62%

22.9%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

21.7%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportiva Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

The chances for Tritones Vallarta have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportiva Venados than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tritones Vallarta than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Deportiva Venados - Tritones Vallarta Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportiva Venados (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Deportiva Venados (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportiva Venados (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Micolta S. ⚽,
30', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.

Deportiva Venados has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Tritones Vallarta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Deportiva Venados is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Deportiva Venados will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Deportiva Venados won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportiva Venados
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
22.04.26	Tritones Vallarta - Deportiva Venados	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Deportiva Venados - Club Calor	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Deportiva Venados - Neza	7:1 ✺
28.03.26	Dragones Toluca - Deportiva Venados	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Deportiva Venados - Cañoneros Marina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWWWW
- Tritones Vallarta MFC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
22.04.26	Tritones Vallarta - Deportiva Venados	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Tapachula Soconusco - Tritones Vallarta	1:1 ✺
15.04.26	Tritones Vallarta - Tapachula Soconusco	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Tritones Vallarta - Los Cabos United	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Tigres de Álica - Tritones Vallarta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
22.04.26	Tritones Vallarta - Deportiva Venados	1:1

Deportiva Venados - Tritones Vallarta