Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA PREMIER SERIE A - ROUND 29

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Real Apodaca		Orgullo Reynosa

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	2.85
	2.15	3.3	3
	2.17	3.3	3.28
	2.18	3.11	3.28
	2.2	3.55	3.01	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.38)	3.3 ↑ (3.2)	3.07 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Apodaca
42.3%

Draw
27.8%

Orgullo Reynosa
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

28.1%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

26.8%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Apodaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Orgullo Reynosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Apodaca than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orgullo Reynosa than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 10).

Real Apodaca is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Orgullo Reynosa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Orgullo Reynosa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Real Apodaca have a series of guest games.

Real Apodaca will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Apodaca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Apodaca
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
17.03.24	Coras - Real Apodaca	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Tuzos UAZ - Real Apodaca	0:1 ✺
06.03.24	Real Apodaca - Calor de San Pedro	2:3 penalties ✺
03.03.24	Saltillo - Real Apodaca	0:0 ✺
28.02.24	Mexicali - Real Apodaca	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWLTW
- Orgullo Reynosa
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.03.24	Orgullo Reynosa - Calor de San Pedro	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Saltillo - Orgullo Reynosa	2:1 ✺
06.03.24	Orgullo Reynosa - Cimarrones de Sonora 2	1:0 ✺
01.03.24	Alacranes de Durango - Orgullo Reynosa	3:2 penalties ✺
23.02.24	Orgullo Reynosa - Los Cabos United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
20.10.23	Orgullo Reynosa - Real Apodaca	0:1

Real Apodaca - Orgullo Reynosa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide