Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA PREMIER SERIE A - ROUND 25

Date: 1 March 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Francisco Zarco (Durango)


	Alacranes de Durango		Orgullo Reynosa

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.6	5.75
	1.53	3.6	6
	1.51	3.6	5.6
	1.5	3.66	6.62
	1.47	3.72	6.79
	1.53	3.6	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.75)	3.63 ↑ (3.28)	6.13 ↑ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alacranes de Durango
60.2%

Draw
25%

Orgullo Reynosa
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

27.8%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

26.2%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alacranes de Durango's performance.

Orgullo Reynosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orgullo Reynosa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orgullo Reynosa than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Alacranes de Durango - Orgullo Reynosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 9).

Alacranes de Durango is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Orgullo Reynosa is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Alacranes de Durango is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Alacranes de Durango to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
25.02.24	Coras - Alacranes de Durango	1:2 ✺
16.02.24	Alacranes de Durango - Real Apodaca	1:0 ✺
09.02.24	Calor de San Pedro - Alacranes de Durango	0:1 ✺
02.02.24	Alacranes de Durango - Saltillo	2:2 ✺
26.01.24	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Alacranes de Durango	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWTT
- Orgullo Reynosa
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
23.02.24	Orgullo Reynosa - Los Cabos United	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Mexicali - Orgullo Reynosa	1:1 ✺
09.02.24	Orgullo Reynosa - Mineros de Fresnillo	1:2 ✺
03.02.24	Leones Negros 2 - Orgullo Reynosa	5:0 ✺
26.01.24	Orgullo Reynosa - Tritones Vallarta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TTLLL

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