Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	Real Apodaca		Tritones Vallarta

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.8
	2.27	3.54	2.79
	2.3	3.54	2.7	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.69	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.89)	3.44 ↑ (3.36)	2.76 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Apodaca
40.2%

Draw
26.6%

Tritones Vallarta
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

27.1%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

26.1%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Apodaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Apodaca's form might have worsened.

Tritones Vallarta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tritones Vallarta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Apodaca than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Apodaca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tritones Vallarta than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tritones Vallarta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Apodaca - Tritones Vallarta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Tritones Vallarta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Real Apodaca will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Real Apodaca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Apodaca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Apodaca
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.02.25	Tigres de Álica - Real Apodaca	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Real Apodaca - Los Cabos United	1:3 ✺
02.02.25	Real Apodaca - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Real Apodaca - Tuzos UAZ	3:1 ✺
11.01.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Real Apodaca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WLWWL
- Tritones Vallarta MFC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.02.25	Tritones Vallarta - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:0 ✺
07.02.25	Tecos FC - Tritones Vallarta	2:3 penalties ✺
01.02.25	Tritones Vallarta - Tuzos UAZ	0:2 ✺
25.01.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Tritones Vallarta	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Tritones Vallarta - Mexicali	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
14.01.24	Real Apodaca - Tritones Vallarta	2:1
12.08.23	Tritones Vallarta - Real Apodaca	2:0

Real Apodaca - Tritones Vallarta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide