Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 12

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday


	Real Aranjuez		Rayo Vallecano B

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.45
	2.75	2.88	2.28
	2.55	3	2.44
	2.74	3.03	2.44
	2.9	2.88	2.4
	2.77	3.04	2.45
	2.75	3.1	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.75)	3 ↑ (2.93)	2.41 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Aranjuez
33%

Draw
29.8%

Rayo Vallecano B
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

30.1%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

27.8%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Aranjuez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Rayo Vallecano B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Aranjuez than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano B than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Real Aranjuez - Rayo Vallecano B Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Real Aranjuez will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Rayo Vallecano B will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Real Aranjuez has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rayo Vallecano B is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rayo Vallecano B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Aranjuez CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
27.11.22	Galapagar - Real Aranjuez	3:1 ✺
20.11.22	Real Aranjuez - Las Rozas	0:1 ✺
05.11.22	Alcalá - Real Aranjuez	3:1 ✺
30.10.22	Real Aranjuez - Ursaria	1:3 ✺
23.10.22	Paracuellos Antamira - Real Aranjuez	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Rayo Vallecano B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
26.11.22	Rayo Vallecano B - Trival Valderas	0:1 ✺
20.11.22	Rayo Vallecano B - RSC Internacional	5:2 ✺
06.11.22	Galapagar - Rayo Vallecano B	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	Rayo Vallecano B - Las Rozas	0:1 ✺
23.10.22	Alcalá - Rayo Vallecano B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWTLL

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