Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 9

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday


	Alcalá		Real Aranjuez

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.3	5.5
	1.66	3.2	4.3
	1.49	3.55	5.6
	1.57	3.53	5.36
	1.53	3.74	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.91)	3.46 ↑ (3.15)	5.26 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcalá
57.2%

Draw
25.8%

Real Aranjuez
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

28.2%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

22.6%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcalá's performance.

Real Aranjuez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Aranjuez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (-20%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcalá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Aranjuez than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Aranjuez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Alcalá - Real Aranjuez Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alcalá will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Real Aranjuez will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Alcalá is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcalá won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
29.10.22	Trival Valderas - Alcalá	3:1 ✺
23.10.22	Alcalá - Rayo Vallecano B	1:0 ✺
16.10.22	Galapagar - Alcalá	1:1 ✺
09.10.22	Alcalá - Las Rozas	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
05.10.22	Panadería Pulido - Alcalá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWTLL
- Real Aranjuez CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
30.10.22	Real Aranjuez - Ursaria	1:3 ✺
23.10.22	Paracuellos Antamira - Real Aranjuez	4:1 ✺
16.10.22	Real Aranjuez - Torrejón	3:0 ✺
09.10.22	Móstoles URJC - Real Aranjuez	2:1 ✺
02.10.22	Real Aranjuez - Collado Villalba	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
05.05.21	Real Aranjuez - Alcalá	1:2

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