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Current Win Probability
Real Avilés 56%
Draw 27.4%
Escobedo 16.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.6%
26.4%
17%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.1%
25.3%
16.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Escobedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Escobedo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Real Avilés - Escobedo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Fontan E. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 2)
48', 1 - 1, Santamaria A. ⚽,
54', 2 - 1, Santamaria A. ⚽,
64', 3 - 1, Poquet N. ⚽,
76', 3 - 2, Gandarillas M. ⚽,
89', 4 - 2, Isi Ros ⚽,
90+5', 4 - 3, Fernandez A. ⚽,
Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion Group: ) and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).
Real Avilés is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Escobedo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Real Avilés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Real Avilés is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Real Avilés to win the game is with odds 1.57.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Avilés won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1