Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 28

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Escobedo		Numancia

	1	X	2
	5	3.2	1.65
	4.5	3.05	1.82
				Watch
	4.47	3.1	1.91
	4.5	3.05	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.62 ↓ (5.6)	3.1 ↓ (3.4)	1.8 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Escobedo
19.8%

Draw
29.5%

Numancia
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

26.7%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

25.8%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Escobedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Numancia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Escobedo than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Numancia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Escobedo - Numancia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Escobedo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Numancia will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Morales J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 1 - 1, Sanchidrian R. ⚽,
83', 2 - 1, Martinez Nacho ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion Group: )).

Escobedo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Numancia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Numancia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Numancia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Escobedo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UM Escobedo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.03.25	Escobedo - Marino de Luanco	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Langreo - Escobedo	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Escobedo - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Pontevedra - Escobedo	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Escobedo - Compostela	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLLT
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.03.25	Pontevedra - Numancia	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Numancia - Laredo	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Marino de Luanco - Numancia	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Numancia - Salamanca	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Langreo - Numancia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.11.24	Numancia - Escobedo	1:1

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