Match Info

Date: 30 May 2021, Sunday


	Real Avilés		Llanes

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.25	3
	1.93	3.4	3.35
	1.93	3.33	3.74
	2.2	2.9	3.2
	2.01	3.22	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.19)	3.22 ↑ (3.15)	3.37 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Avilés
45%

Draw
28.1%

Llanes
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

29.2%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

19.8%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Avilés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Llanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Avilés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanes than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llanes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Avilés - Llanes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Real Avilés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Real Avilés will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Real Avilés won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Avilés won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Avilés
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
23.05.21	San Martín - Real Avilés	0:1 ET ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
05.05.21	San Martín - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
02.05.21	Real Avilés - LEntregu	1:1 ✺
28.04.21	Real Avilés - Llanes	0:1 ✺
11.04.21	LEntregu - Real Avilés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTTLT
- CD Llanes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
23.05.21	LEntregu - Llanes	1:3 ET ✺
16.05.21	Llanes - Tuilla	1:1 ET ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
02.05.21	Llanera - Llanes	1:0 ✺
28.04.21	Real Avilés - Llanes	0:1 ✺
11.04.21	Llanes - Llanera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
28.04.21	Real Avilés - Llanes	0:1
12.10.18	Real Avilés - Llanes	0:4
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
29.10.17	Llanes - Real Avilés	1:0

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