Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 13

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday


	Real Avilés		Marino de Luanco

	1	X	2
	1.9	2.95	3.8
	1.97	3.05	3.8
	2.02	3.3	3.68
	1.96	3.18	3.78	Watch
	1.95	3.04	4.18
	1.97	3.05	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.82)	3.1 ↓ (3.3)	3.84 ↓ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Avilés
46.6%

Draw
29.6%

Marino de Luanco
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

28%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

26.1%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Marino de Luanco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Real Avilés - Marino de Luanco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Santamaria A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
76', Pinin G. 🟥,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Avilés won 2.

Recent matches Real Avilés is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marino de Luanco is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Real Avilés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real Avilés is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Real Avilés won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:11 (average 0.9:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Avilés won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Avilés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.11.24	Langreo - Real Avilés	0:2 ✺
10.11.24	Real Avilés - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Pontevedra - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Real Avilés - Compostela	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Valladolid B - Real Avilés	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLTTL
- Marino de Luanco
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.11.24	Marino de Luanco - Guijuelo	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Rayo Cantabria - Marino de Luanco	4:2 ✺
03.11.24	Marino de Luanco - Escobedo	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Numancia - Marino de Luanco	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Langreo - Marino de Luanco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.04.24	Real Avilés - Marino de Luanco	1:1
26.11.23	Marino de Luanco - Real Avilés	0:0
02.04.23	Marino de Luanco - Real Avilés	0:2
20.11.22	Real Avilés - Marino de Luanco	1:0
22.01.22	Marino de Luanco - Real Avilés	0:0
05.09.21	Real Avilés - Marino de Luanco	2:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
16.12.18	Real Avilés - Marino de Luanco	0:1

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