Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Langreo		Marino de Luanco

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.82	2.92
	2.47	2.82	3.06	Watch
	2.4	2.7	3
	2.42	2.85	2.99
	2.37	2.9	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.3)	2.82 ↓ (2.93)	3.01 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Langreo
37.6%

Draw
32.2%

Marino de Luanco
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

30.9%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

29.7%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Langreo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Marino de Luanco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Langreo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Langreo - Marino de Luanco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Basurto A. ⚽,
44', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Langreo won 2.

Recent performances by Langreo have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Marino de Luanco is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Langreo won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Langreo won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Langreo - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.36%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UP Langreo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.01.26	Salamanca - Langreo	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Langreo - Valladolid B	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Sámano - Langreo	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Langreo - Sarriana	0:2 ✺
29.11.25	Numancia - Langreo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTWLL
- Marino de Luanco
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.01.26	Marino de Luanco - Atlético Astorga	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Burgos Promesas - Marino de Luanco	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Marino de Luanco - Coruxo	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Marino de Luanco	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Marino de Luanco - Real Ávila	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.09.25	Marino de Luanco - Langreo	2:0
02.03.25	Marino de Luanco - Langreo	0:1
20.10.24	Langreo - Marino de Luanco	2:1
24.02.24	Langreo - Marino de Luanco	0:0
15.10.23	Marino de Luanco - Langreo	1:1
05.02.23	Marino de Luanco - Langreo	2:0
18.09.22	Langreo - Marino de Luanco	1:3

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