Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 34

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Numancia		Marino de Luanco

	1	X	2
	1.23	5	11
	1.52	3.55	5.9
	1.5	3.92	4.87
	1.42	3.94	7.74	Watch
	1.22	4.6	15
	1.49	3.82	6.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.64)	4.14 ↑ (3.43)	8.42 ↑ (5.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
66.5%

Draw
22.4%

Marino de Luanco
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

26.8%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

25.2%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Numancia's performance.

Marino de Luanco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marino de Luanco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Numancia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marino de Luanco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Numancia - Marino de Luanco Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Numancia will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Marino de Luanco will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Juancho ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Numancia is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Numancia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Numancia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.04.26	Langreo - Numancia	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Sámano - Numancia	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Numancia - Real Ávila	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Real Oviedo B - Numancia	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Numancia - Sarriana	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWWTT
- Marino de Luanco
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.04.26	Marino de Luanco - Sámano	4:1 ✺
19.04.26	Sarriana - Marino de Luanco	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Marino de Luanco - Real Oviedo B	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Coruxo - Marino de Luanco	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Marino de Luanco - UD Ourense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.10.25	Marino de Luanco - Numancia	1:2
09.03.25	Marino de Luanco - Numancia	1:0
26.10.24	Numancia - Marino de Luanco	1:0
16.01.21	Marino de Luanco - Numancia	1:0
18.10.20	Numancia - Marino de Luanco	3:1

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