Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Román Suárez Puerta (Avilés)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Real Avilés		Osasuna B

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.5
	2.15	3.1	2.95
	2.15	3.2	3.2
	2.14	3.3	3.26
	2.15	3.2	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.15)	3.2 (3.2)	3.24 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Avilés
43.2%

Draw
28.6%

Osasuna B
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

28.4%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

29.3%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Avilés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Osasuna B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Real Avilés - Osasuna B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez A. (G) 2. Ortega G. 16. Gomez A. 5. Babin J. 20. Campabadal E. 7. Hernandez R. 18. Gete A. 14. Cayarga B. 8. Bautista K. 22. Isi Ros 9. Santamaria A.	1. Stamatakis D. (G) 2. Arguibide I. 23. Serrano M. 3. Jimenez A. 21. Ruiz R. C. 7. Lumbreras C. 6. Echegoyen M. 16. Auria M. 14. Garcia J. 8. Yoldi A. 11. Pedroarena M.
Substitutes
13. Almodovar N. (G) 21. Alvarez P. 17. Bari Q. 26. Carracedo O. 15. Chukwuma E. 3. Diaz V. 12. Granero B. 19. Poquet N. 11. Rubio R.	30. Anso M. 34. Arrasate 17. Arroyo R. 26. Garin X. 9. Gonzalez D. 35. Kall A. 22. Larrion A. 20. Perez B. 13. Rafa (G) 5. Santos U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Gomez A. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Gete A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 🟨,
60', Gete A. ↓, Granero B. ↑,
60', Isi Ros ↓, Rubio R. ↑,
61', Lumbreras C. ↓, Arroyo R. ↑,
61', Pedroarena M. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
69', Auria M. ↓, Garin X. ↑,
71', Cayarga B. ↓, Alvarez P. ↑,
77', Rubio R. 🟨,
79', Santamaria A. ↓, Poquet N. ↑,
83', Echegoyen M. ↓, Santos U. ↑,
83', Garcia J. ↓, Kall A. ↑,
85', 2 - 0, Serrano M. (Own goal),

Preview

Real Avilés has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Osasuna B is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Osasuna B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Real Avilés is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Avilés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.09.25	Lugo - Real Avilés	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Real Avilés - Ponferradina	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.25	Marino de Luanco - Real Avilés	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Mosconia - Real Avilés	3:0 ✺
06.08.25	Real Avilés - Leonesa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLWLT
- Osasuna B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.09.25	Osasuna B - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Osasuna B	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.25	Osasuna B - Teruel	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Osasuna B - Mutilvera	1:2 ✺
30.07.25	Barakaldo - Osasuna B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 TWWLW

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