Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Campo de Lasesarre (Barakaldo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Barakaldo		Osasuna B

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.3	4.75
	1.65	3.5	4.95
	1.61	3.71	5.12
	1.61	3.81	5.35	Watch
	1.65	3.1	5
	1.62	3.38	5.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.67)	3.47 ↓ (3.59)	5.09 ↑ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barakaldo
55.8%

Draw
26.3%

Osasuna B
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

25.8%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

24.6%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Osasuna B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Barakaldo - Osasuna B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Campos G. (G) 7. Pedernales I. 4. Dufur U. 18. Arana M. 23. Albizua U. 20. Mandiang S. 15. Jimenez I. 5. Molina E. (C) 14. Munoz I. 21. Pena A. 9. Valino A.	13. Rafa (G) 12. Lucero R. 4. Espejo D. 24. Osambela A. 21. Ruiz R. C. 10. Rico M. 16. Auria M. (C) 6. Echegoyen M. 3. Jimenez A. 17. Arroyo R. 19. Bonel A.
Substitutes
2. de Jesus B. 17. de Leon J. 19. Galarza A. 8. Huidobro J. 1. Ispizua I. (G) 6. Naveira U. 24. Ropero I. 10. Sabin 22. Torra M.	30. Anso M. 34. Arrasate I. 15. Efremov A. 26. Garin X. 9. Gonzalez D. 35. Kall A. 22. Larrion A. 7. Lumbreras C. 11. Pedroarena M. 5. Santos U. 1. Stamatakis D. (G) 8. Yoldi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 🟨,
61', Jimenez I. ↓, Huidobro J. ↑,
61', Molina E. ↓, Naveira U. ↑,
69', Naveira U. 🟨,
73', Pena A. ↓, de Leon J. ↑,
73', Arroyo R. ↓, Yoldi A. ↑,
73', Bonel A. ↓, Lumbreras C. ↑,
73', Mandiang S. ↓, Sabin ↑,
79', 🟨,
81', Rico M. ↓, Garin X. ↑,
82', Albizua U. ↓, de Jesus B. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 0, de Leon J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barakaldo won 2.

In recent matches, Barakaldo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Osasuna B is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Osasuna B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Barakaldo is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Barakaldo won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Barakaldo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Barakaldo	6	1	3	2	6:9	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.02.26	Zamora - Barakaldo	2:2 ✺
06.02.26	Barakaldo - Talavera de la Reina	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Cacereño - Barakaldo	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Barakaldo	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Barakaldo - CD Guadalajara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWTLW
- Osasuna B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.02.26	Osasuna B - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Osasuna B - Cacereño	2:2 ✺
30.01.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Osasuna B	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Osasuna B - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:3 ✺
18.01.26	Ourense CF - Osasuna B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.11.25	Osasuna B - Barakaldo	2:0
Club Friendly
30.07.25	Barakaldo - Osasuna B	1:2
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.04.25	Osasuna B - Barakaldo	2:1
22.12.24	Barakaldo - Osasuna B	2:1
Club Friendly
19.08.23	Barakaldo - Osasuna B	3:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
16.11.19	Osasuna B - Barakaldo	1:0
14.02.18	Osasuna B - Barakaldo	0:1

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