Match Info
Premiere Division - Round 19Date: 24 April 2026, FridayLocation: Stade Modibo Kéïta (Bamako)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Mali | ORTM |
 World | FIFA+ |
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Real Bamako |
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Bakaridjan |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.78 |
3.3 |
4.05 |
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 |
1.81 |
3.31 |
3.7 |
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 |
1.81 |
3.43 |
4.13 |
 Watch |
 |
1.75 |
3 |
4.5 |
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 |
1.74 |
3.08 |
4.96 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↑
(1.63) |
3.22 ↓
(3.29) |
4.27 ↓
(5.61) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Real Bamako
50.8% | Draw
28% | Bakaridjan
21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Bamako has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Bamako's form might have worsened.Bakaridjan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Bamako than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Bamako, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bakaridjan than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bakaridjan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Real Bamako - Bakaridjan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Bamako won 1.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game. In this match, Real Bamako is seen as the favorite.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Real Bamako won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.7:0.6).Including home matches between the teams, Real Bamako won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Real Bamako | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 32:14 | 18 | 49 |
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| 10 | Bakaridjan | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 20:27 | -7 | 27 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Malian Première Division | | | 27.12.25 | Bakaridjan - Real Bamako | 0:0 | | 10.01.25 | Real Bamako - Bakaridjan | 0:0 | | 23.02.24 | Real Bamako - Bakaridjan | 1:0 | | 25.11.22 | Real Bamako - Bakaridjan | 2:2 | | 28.05.22 | Real Bamako - Bakaridjan | 1:1 | | 04.11.19 | Real Bamako - Bakaridjan | 1:1 |
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