Match Info
Premiere Division - Round 17Date: 5 April 2026, SundayLocation: Complex Sportif Heremakono (Bamako)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Mali | ORTM |
 World | FIFA+ |
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Djoliba |
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Stade Malien |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.18 |
2.62 |
3.65 |
 Watch |
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2.17 |
2.55 |
3.68 |
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2.24 |
2.65 |
3.8 |
Watch |
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2.2 |
2.5 |
3.6 |
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2.15 |
2.59 |
3.99 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↑
(1.72) |
2.58 ↓
(3.05) |
3.74 ↓
(5.11) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Djoliba
41.1% | Draw
34.8% | Stade Malien
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Djoliba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Djoliba's form might have worsened.Stade Malien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stade Malien's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Djoliba than the current prediction. (+14.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Djoliba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Malien than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stade Malien, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Djoliba - Stade Malien Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Djoliba won 2.Djoliba has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Stade Malien has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Djoliba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Djoliba is the team to beat.In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Djoliba won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 0.7:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Djoliba won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Djoliba | 26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 41:12 | 29 | 59 |
| 2 | Stade Malien | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 28:15 | 13 | 50 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Djoliba - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 52.62%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Malian Première Division | | | 14.12.25 | Stade Malien - Djoliba | 1:0 | | 27.04.25 | Djoliba - Stade Malien | 1:3 | | 16.02.25 | Stade Malien - Djoliba | 0:1 | | 17.03.24 | Djoliba - Stade Malien | 2:1 | | 30.12.23 | Stade Malien - Djoliba | 1:0 | | 27.11.22 | Djoliba - Stade Malien | 1:0 | | 29.05.22 | Stade Malien - Djoliba | 0:2 |
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