Match Info

GFA League - Round 23

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday


	Real Banjul		Medina United

	1	X	2
	2.23	2.73	3.68	Watch
	2.11	2.79	3.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.11)	2.76 ↓ (2.77)	3.7 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Banjul
42.1%

Draw
33.1%

Medina United
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

33%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

32.9%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Banjul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Medina United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Banjul than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Medina United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Real Banjul - Medina United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
77', 1 - 1, ⚽,
86', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 5).

Real Banjul has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Medina United is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Real Banjul might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Banjul won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Medina United	30	16	6	8	34:25	9	54
6	Real Banjul	30	9	14	7	30:25	5	41

Last Results with these Odds

Real Banjul - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.19%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Banjul
Gambian GFA League
03.05.26	TMT - Real Banjul	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Real Banjul - Gambia Ports Authority	0:1 ✺
13.04.26	Real Banjul - Banjul Hawks	0:0 ✺
08.04.26	Gambian Dutch Lions - Real Banjul	2:2 ✺
24.03.26	Real Banjul - Bombada	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLTTT
- Medina United FA
Gambian GFA League
03.05.26	Medina United - Falcons	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	BST Galaxy - Medina United	1:3 ✺
12.04.26	Medina United - Brikama United	1:2 ✺
07.04.26	Samger - Medina United	0:1 ✺
23.03.26	Team Rhino - Medina United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Gambian GFA League
24.01.26	Medina United - Real Banjul	0:2

Real Banjul - Medina United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide