Match Info

Brasiliense - Round 6

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Defelé (Brasília)


	Real Brasilia		Paranoá

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.98	3.05
	2.19	2.95	3.23
	2.2	3.05	3.21	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3.2
	2.14	3.54	3.13
	2.1	3	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.49)	3.05 ↓ (3.13)	3.19 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Brasilia
41.6%

Draw
29.8%

Paranoá
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

28.9%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

27.7%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Brasilia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Brasilia's performance.

Paranoá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paranoá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Brasilia than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Brasilia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paranoá than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paranoá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Brasilia - Paranoá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, ⚽,
45+7', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
48', 3 - 2, ⚽,
65', 4 - 2, ⚽,
76', 4 - 3, ⚽,
82', 4 - 4, ⚽,
84', 4 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Brasiliense 2)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Brasilia won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Real Brasilia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home match between the teams, Real Brasilia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Brasilia
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
31.01.26	Ceilândia - Real Brasilia	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Real Brasilia - Samambaia	0:1 ✺
21.01.26	Capital CF Ltda - Real Brasilia	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Real Brasilia - Brasiliense	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Gama - Real Brasilia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 LLWTL
- Paranoá EC
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
31.01.26	Gama - Paranoá	4:1 ✺
24.01.26	Paranoá - Capital CF Ltda	0:3 ✺
21.01.26	Paranoá - Brasília	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Sobradinho - Paranoá	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Paranoá - ARUC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
22.02.25	Paranoá - Real Brasilia	2:1
02.03.24	Paranoá - Real Brasilia	2:1
01.04.23	Real Brasilia - Paranoá	1:1
25.03.23	Paranoá - Real Brasilia	1:1
11.03.23	Paranoá - Real Brasilia	1:3
08.02.20	Paranoá - Real Brasilia	0:4

Real Brasilia - Paranoá: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide