Match Info

Brasiliense - Round 4

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Defelé (Brasília)


	Real Brasilia		Samambaia

	1	X	2
	3.65	3.05	1.95
	3.87	2.92	1.98
	3.86	3.05	1.97	Watch
	3.8	2.9	2
	3.88	3.52	1.9
	3.75	3.14	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (2.96)	3.1 ↓ (3.31)	1.95 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Brasilia
23.9%

Draw
29.4%

Samambaia
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

27.7%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Brasilia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Brasilia's form might have worsened.

Samambaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samambaia's recent form is better than expected.

Real Brasilia - Samambaia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Diego Xavier ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Brasilia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Brasilia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Brasilia
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
21.01.26	Capital CF Ltda - Real Brasilia	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Real Brasilia - Brasiliense	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Gama - Real Brasilia	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Real Brasilia - Legião	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Paranoá - Real Brasilia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.9 WTLWL
- Samambaia FC
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
21.01.26	Gama - Samambaia	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Samambaia - Ceilândia	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Capital CF Ltda - Samambaia	2:2 ✺
08.03.25	Ceilândia - Samambaia	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Samambaia - Ceilandense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
17.02.25	Real Brasilia - Samambaia	1:1
05.02.24	Samambaia - Real Brasilia	3:0
04.03.23	Real Brasilia - Samambaia	2:0

Real Brasilia - Samambaia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide