Match Info

Brasiliense - Round 5

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Maria de Lourdes Abadia (Ceilândia)


	Ceilândia		Real Brasilia

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.4	5.15
	1.63	3.29	5.27
	1.59	3.53	5.57	Watch
	1.67	3.1	5
	1.72	3.65	4.69
	1.62	3.25	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.5)	3.37 ↓ (3.79)	5.17 ↓ (6.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceilândia
55.5%

Draw
27%

Real Brasilia
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

24.1%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceilândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ceilândia's form might have worsened.

Real Brasilia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Ceilândia - Real Brasilia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceilândia won 4.

In this match, Ceilândia is the clear favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ceilândia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 0.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ceilândia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceilândia
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
25.01.26	Brasília - Ceilândia	1:2 ✺
21.01.26	Ceilândia - ARUC	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Samambaia - Ceilândia	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Ceilândia - Sobradinho	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
23.08.25	Barra Santa Catarina - Ceilândia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WWLTL
- Real Brasilia
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
24.01.26	Real Brasilia - Samambaia	0:1 ✺
21.01.26	Capital CF Ltda - Real Brasilia	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Real Brasilia - Brasiliense	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Gama - Real Brasilia	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Real Brasilia - Legião	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.9 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
18.01.25	Ceilândia - Real Brasilia	1:0
Brazilian Copa Verde
28.02.24	Ceilândia - Real Brasilia	1:0 penalties
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
13.01.24	Real Brasilia - Ceilândia	0:1
03.02.23	Real Brasilia - Ceilândia	0:0
20.02.21	Real Brasilia - Ceilândia	1:2
01.02.20	Ceilândia - Real Brasilia	0:2

Ceilândia - Real Brasilia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide