Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Play Offs - Final

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Parque Estadio Olaya Herrera (Bogotá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Real Cundinamarca		Cúcuta Deportivo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.92	2.98	Watch
	2.52	2.88	2.99
	2.19	3.13	3.32	Watch
	2.48	2.8	2.95	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.19)	2.93 ↓ (3.13)	3.03 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Cundinamarca
38%

Draw
31.5%

Cúcuta Deportivo
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

29.7%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

29%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Cundinamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Cúcuta Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Cundinamarca than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Cundinamarca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Real Cundinamarca - Cúcuta Deportivo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Cúcuta (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cúcuta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Catano K. (G) 9. Asprilla Moreno J. 30. Barbosa Gomez S. P. 7. Caicedo B. 16. Cajares J. (C) 10. Castano C. 19. Cortes J. 14. Rocha A. 20. Rubiano J. 2. Suaza Castaneda J. B. 32. Viveros J.	12. Sanchez R. (G) 3. Calcaterra D. 8. Ceballos J. 27. Duarte Barajas E. M. 49. Hinestroza L. 6. Orozco S. 30. Payares L. 99. Peralta J. 9. Pisano M. 29. Rios L. 19. Valencia J.
Substitutes
12. Betancourth J. (G) 5. Camacho I. 8. Davila W. 31. Florez C. 6. Gomez C. 29. Montano L. 3. Moreno S. 22. Negrete C. 18. Torres F.	32. Agudelo J. 10. Alvarez C. 17. Arizalas E. 2. Ballesteros A. 16. Borja A. 70. Cruz W. 24. Roman S. (G) 33. Tamara S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Barbosa Gomez S. P. 🟥,
26', 1 - 0, Caicedo B. ⚽,
29', Ceballos J. 🟥,
45', Rubiano J. 🟨,
45+1', Pisano M. 🟨,
45+3', Calcaterra D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Valencia J. ↓, Tamara S. ↑,
48', Payares L. 🟨,
58', Catano K. 🟨,
59', Pisano M. ↓, Agudelo J. ↑,
59', Peralta J. ↓, Cruz W. ↑,
65', Castano C. 🟨,
71', Castano C. ↓, Camacho I. ↑,
80', Rocha A. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
80', Rios L. ↓, Alvarez C. ↑,
85', Cruz W. ↓, Arizalas E. ↑,
90+2', Asprilla Moreno J. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
90+2', Rubiano J. ↓, Moreno S. ↑,
90+4', Torres F. 🟨,
90+7', Torres F. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Cundinamarca won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Real Cundinamarca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Real Cundinamarca won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Cundinamarca won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Cundinamarca
Colombian Primera B
23.11.25	Patriotas - Real Cundinamarca	0:3 ✺
20.11.25	Real Cundinamarca - Boca Juniors de Cali	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Real Cundinamarca - Real Cartagena	1:2 ✺
12.11.25	Real Cartagena - Real Cundinamarca	0:0 ✺
06.11.25	Boca Juniors de Cali - Real Cundinamarca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWLTW
- Cúcuta Deportivo
Colombian Primera B
23.11.25	Cúcuta Deportivo - Internacional de Palmira	4:0 ✺
19.11.25	Atlético Huila - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Jaguares de Córdoba - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:2 ✺
11.11.25	Cúcuta Deportivo - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:2 ✺
06.11.25	Cúcuta Deportivo - Atlético Huila	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
09.08.25	Real Cundinamarca - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:1
08.06.25	Cúcuta Deportivo - Real Cundinamarca	2:1
28.05.25	Real Cundinamarca - Cúcuta Deportivo	4:0
02.03.25	Cúcuta Deportivo - Real Cundinamarca	1:1
12.11.24	Real Cundinamarca - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:1
09.11.24	Cúcuta Deportivo - Real Cundinamarca	1:0
22.10.24	Real Cundinamarca - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:1

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