Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 2

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Jaime Morón León (Cartagena)


	Real Cartagena		Real Cundinamarca

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.33	4.68	10.19
	1.33	4.65	9.51	Watch
	1.33	4	8.5
	1.42	4.26	7.61	Watch
	1.35	4.33	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.83)	4.38 ↑ (3.69)	8.86 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Cartagena
68.4%

Draw
21.1%

Real Cundinamarca
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

25.1%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Cartagena's performance.

Real Cundinamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Cundinamarca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Real Cartagena - Real Cundinamarca Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Real Cartagena will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Real Cundinamarca will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Cartagena (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Real Cartagena (1.52) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Cartagena (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Gomez Tovar G. E. (G) 24. Duque J. 6. Escobar A. 27. Escobar A. 26. Graciano C. 8. Guevara L. 23. Lora R. 10. Montero F. (C) 14. Pino D. 21. Rodriguez J. 11. Yanes L.	12. Betancourth J. (G) 20. Acosta O. 5. Cabezas S. 30. Cuero Fabian 8. Gomez C. 6. Hoyos J. 24. Mendoza J. 29. Montano L. 3. Moreno S. 18. Obregon L. 2. Suaza Castaneda J. B. (C)
Substitutes
7. Aleman J. 4. Barco S. 18. Ditta Ruiz J. J. 12. Fontalvo R. (G) 25. Long H. 9. Manotas M. 19. Moreno J. 29. Tamayo F.	27. Amaya J. 19. Cortes J. 10. Cundumi I. 35. Hinestroza J. 1. Hinestroza Mosquera K. (G) 4. Parra N. 11. Valencia Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Montero F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Graciano C. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
49', Pino D. 🟨,
50', Cuero Fabian 🟨,
63', Mendoza J. ↓, Valencia Y. ↑,
64', Yanes L. ↓, Aleman J. ↑,
64', Rodriguez J. ↓, Manotas M. ↑,
65', Gomez C. 🟨,
65', Guevara L. 🟨,
70', Obregon L. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
72', Melendez A. ↓, Ditta Ruiz J. J. ↑,
80', Hoyos J. ↓, Cundumi I. ↑,
80', Montano L. ↓, Amaya J. ↑,
83', Montero F. 🟨,
84', Montero F. ↓, Long H. ↑,
90+4', Gomez C. 🟨,
90+5', Cabezas S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Cartagena won 1.

In this match, Real Cartagena is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Real Cartagena won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Cartagena won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Cundinamarca	11	7	2	2	19:10	9	23
7	Cartagena	11	4	3	4	19:14	5	15

Last Results with these Odds

Real Cartagena - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.7%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Cartagena
Colombian Primera B
23.01.26	Real Santander - Real Cartagena	0:1 ✺
24.11.25	Boca Juniors de Cali - Real Cartagena	0:0 ✺
20.11.25	Real Cartagena - Patriotas	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Real Cundinamarca - Real Cartagena	1:2 ✺
12.11.25	Real Cartagena - Real Cundinamarca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTLWT
- Real Cundinamarca
Colombian Primera B
26.01.26	Real Cundinamarca - Envigado	0:2 ✺
02.12.25	Cúcuta Deportivo - Real Cundinamarca	3:1 penalties ✺
27.11.25	Real Cundinamarca - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Patriotas - Real Cundinamarca	0:3 ✺
20.11.25	Real Cundinamarca - Boca Juniors de Cali	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
16.11.25	Real Cundinamarca - Real Cartagena	1:2
12.11.25	Real Cartagena - Real Cundinamarca	0:0
04.08.25	Real Cartagena - Real Cundinamarca	0:0
03.04.25	Real Cundinamarca - Real Cartagena	3:0
17.09.24	Real Cundinamarca - Real Cartagena	2:1
14.04.24	Real Cartagena - Real Cundinamarca	2:1
12.08.23	Real Cundinamarca - Real Cartagena	1:1

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