Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 21 September 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Mosquera (Mosquera)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Real Cundinamarca		Deportes Quindío

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.77	3.10	4.33
	1.82	3.1	4.3	Watch
	2.33	3.09	4.06
	1.96	3.19	4.07	Watch
	1.79	2.95	4.2
	1.89	2.97	4.17	Watch
	1.81	3.05	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.9)	3.06 ↑ (3)	4.19 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is -0.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Cundinamarca
48.1%

Draw
30%

Deportes Quindío
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

29.8%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

28.6%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Cundinamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Deportes Quindío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Cundinamarca than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Quindío than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Real Cundinamarca - Deportes Quindío Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Real Cundinamarca will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Valencia M. (G) 20. Acosta O. 10. Amaya J. 19. Cortes J. 17. Cuellar K. 4. Florez S. 28. Rios C. 2. Suaza J. 27. Uribe C. 23. Vidal K. 16. Zambrano C.	30. Silva J. (G) 25. Carabali R. A. F. 4. Delgado J. 15. Mosquera F. 6. Orozco S. 28. Ortiz J. S. 22. Payares M. 5. Roa S. 14. Rodrigo Moran L. 19. Sandoval J. 8. Valencia F.
Substitutes
5. Cano A. 14. Castro B. 3. Estupinan J. 26. Fernandez J. 33. Lemus J. (G) 22. Mosquera E. (G) 18. Quinonez B. 25. Saavedra G. 7. Valencia Y.	21. Alvarez A. 9. Bacca M. 3. Castano M. 18. Cordoba J. 1. Jimenez M. (G) 7. Lloreda J. 11. Lopez J. 16. Torres Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Rios C. ⚽,
23', Amaya J. 🟨,
34', 🟨,
35', 2 - 0, Amaya J. ⚽,
39', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Acosta O. ↓, Cano A. ↑,
54', 2 - 1, Torres Y. ⚽,
60', 🟨,
64', Rios C. ↓, Valencia Y. ↑,
64', Cuellar K. ↓, Castro B. ↑,
64', Vidal K. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
67', 3 - 1, Valencia Y. ⚽,
68', 🟨,
73', 🟨,
80', Amaya J. ↓, Estupinan J. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 8th in the Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Cundinamarca won 2.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Real Cundinamarca holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Real Cundinamarca has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:6 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Real Cundinamarca against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:2 goals (averaging 2.5:1 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Cundinamarca	11	7	2	2	19:10	9	23
6	Quindio	11	4	4	3	9:8	1	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Cundinamarca
Colombian Primera B
12.09.26	Real Cundinamarca - Unión Magdalena	2:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
09.09.26	Real Cundinamarca - Inter Bogotá	1:2 ✺
Colombian Primera B
03.09.26	Internacional de Palmira - Real Cundinamarca	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Real Cundinamarca - Patriotas	4:1 ✺
24.08.26	Orsomarso - Real Cundinamarca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WLWWL
- Deportes Quindío
Colombian Primera B
13.09.26	Deportes Quindío - Patriotas	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Deportes Quindío	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Deportes Quindío - Real Santander	0:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
02.09.26	Deportes Quindío - Llaneros SA	1:2 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera B
28.08.26	Unión Magdalena - Deportes Quindío	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
16.03.26	Deportes Quindío - Real Cundinamarca	0:0
19.09.25	Real Cundinamarca - Deportes Quindío	3:1
12.04.25	Deportes Quindío - Real Cundinamarca	0:0
05.08.24	Real Cundinamarca - Deportes Quindío	2:1
17.02.24	Deportes Quindío - Real Cundinamarca	3:2
09.09.23	Deportes Quindío - Real Cundinamarca	1:1

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