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Current Win Probability
Real Cundinamarca 23.4%
Draw 28.4%
Deportivo Pereira 48.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.3%
29.1%
50.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.7%
28.3%
52%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Cundinamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Deportivo Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Cundinamarca than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
42.9%
42.9%
Real Cundinamarca - Deportivo Pereira Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Real Cundinamarca will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Pereira will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Cundinamarca (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Pereira (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Catano K. (G) 9. Asprilla Moreno J. 30. Barbosa Gomez S. P. 16. Cajares J. 6. Camacho I. 10. Castano C. 8. Davila W. 3. Moreno S. 14. Rocha A. 20. Rubiano J. 32. Viveros J.
1. Ichazo S. (G) 15. Aguilar S. 27. Ararat J. 10. Cabrera Y. 4. Juan Quintero 11. Largacha J. 29. Moreno E. 77. Mosquera L. 3. Moya J. 18. Perez M. 14. Rios J.
Substitutes
7. Caicedo B. 31. Florez C. 1. Hinestroza Mosquera K. (G) 5. Hoyos J. 29. Montano L. 22. Negrete C. 27. Parra G. 2. Suaza Castaneda J. B. 18. Torres F.
33. Kelvin Osorio 6. Mejia V. 9. Merheg S. J. 16. Moreno Gomez E. A. 44. Mosquera J. 21. Pacheco W. 13. Quinones Y. 7. Quintero D. 17. Torres G.
Coaches
Nino J.
Dudamel R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Moya J. 🟨,
32', Camacho I. 🟨,
39', Juan Quintero 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Asprilla Moreno J. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Camacho I. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
52', Cajares J. 🟨,
56', Juan Quintero ↓, Quintero D. ↑,
57', Cabrera Y. ↓, Quinones Y. ↑,
57', Perez M. ↓, Merheg S. J. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Quinones Y. ⚽,
71', Barbosa Gomez S. P. 🟨,
73', Catano K. 🟨,
73', Merheg S. J. 🟨,
74', Barbosa Gomez S. P. 🟨,
76', Castano C. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
80', Ichazo S. 🟨,
84', 2 - 1, Rocha A. ⚽, Davila W. (A),
84', Largacha J. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
90', Rios J. ↓, Kelvin Osorio ↑,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Merheg S. J. (Pen),
1, Asprilla Moreno J. (Pen),
2, Kelvin Osorio (Pen),
2, Viveros J. (Pen),
3, Quinones Y. (Pen),
3, Rubiano J. (Pen),
4, Torres G. (Pen),
4, Rocha A. (Pen),
5, Quintero D. (Pen),
5, Davila W. (Pen),
Preview
1st leg result: 3-4. 2nd leg.
Real Cundinamarca is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Pereira has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Real Cundinamarca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Pereira will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Cundinamarca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
Including home match between the teams, Real Cundinamarca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
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Catano K. (G) 
Ichazo S. (G) 
Ararat J. 
Merheg S. J. 
Dudamel R. 
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