The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Envigado 29.7%
Draw 31.8%
Deportivo Pereira 38.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
31.9%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.9%
30.8%
36.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Deportivo Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
75%
8.3%
Envigado - Deportivo Pereira Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Envigado will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Pereira will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 75%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.5% – 99.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Pereira (1.59) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Pereira (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
88. Tovar A. (G) 27. Quejada J. 4. Uribe N. 28. Gamboa Valencia J. J. 2. Palacios D. 13. Soto T. 6. Palacio J. 21. Lopez E. (C) 19. Berrio F. 9. Londono S. 7. Diaz L.
1. Ichazo S. (G) 3. Moya J. 4. Juan Quintero 31. Velasco E. 21. Pacheco W. 33. Kelvin Osorio 10. Cabrera Y. 7. Quintero D. 14. Rios J. 11. Largacha J. 18. Perez M.
Substitutes
30. Agron B. 68. Aristizabal J. 15. Cuervo S. 8. Espana Alvarez R. C. 11. Garces J. 14. Hinestroza J. 18. Hurtado W. 1. Montoya J. (G) 26. Valencia Mosquera D. A.
8. Acosta S. 15. Aguilar S. 80. Albornoz O. 27. Ararat J. 99. Calderon A. 22. Estacio A. 6. Mejia V. 44. Mosquera J. 17. Torres G.
Coaches
Orozco A.
Dudamel R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Londono S. ⚽,
18', Berrio F. 🟨,
23', Moya J. 🟨,
30', Uribe N. 🟨,
32', Velasco E. 🟨,
38', Perez M. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
45+1', Quintero D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Kelvin Osorio 🟨,
55', Uribe N. ↓, Cuervo S. ↑,
55', Berrio F. ↓, Valencia Mosquera D. A. ↑,
60', Kelvin Osorio ↓, Mejia V. ↑,
60', Velasco E. ↓, Albornoz O. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Quintero D. ⚽,
69', Palacio J. ↓, Aristizabal J. ↑,
69', Soto T. ↓, Hurtado W. ↑,
72', Quintero D. ↓, Estacio A. ↑,
72', Pacheco W. ↓, Ararat J. ↑,
77', Londono S. ↓, Garces J. ↑,
86', Torres G. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Valencia Mosquera D. A. ⚽,
Preview
1st leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 0.
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
Envigado may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 0.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Envigado won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Envigado - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.09%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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Ichazo S. (G) 
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