Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Villa Concha (Piedecuesta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play


	Real Santander		Real Cundinamarca

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.41	3.16	3.02
	2.41	3.1	3.02	Watch
	2.3	2.8	2.88
	2.38	2.93	2.95	Watch
	2.36	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.79)	3 ↑ (2.84)	2.97 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Santander
38.6%

Draw
30.6%

Real Cundinamarca
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

31.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Santander's performance.

Real Cundinamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Cundinamarca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Real Santander - Real Cundinamarca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mora J. (G)
13. Caicedo
3. Duran C.
. Habib
23. Moreno B.
30. Perez J.
24. Rangel L.
9. Rey S.
7. Rueda Juan
20. Salas H.
31. Tapia R.
Substitutes
28. Acuna S.
11. Diaz M.
8. Garcia J.
27. Guillen Sanchez J. D.
16. Hernandez J.
12. Lazaro J. (G)
2. Perez J.
6. Ruiz Bravo D. F.
25. Segura A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', 🟨,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Rey S. ⚽,
49', 🟨,
49', 🟥,
52', 🟨,
87', 🟥,
88', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 0, Guillen Sanchez J. D. ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 1, Salcedo J. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Real Santander may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Santander won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1.2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Santander won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Cundinamarca	11	7	2	2	19:10	9	23
13	Real Santander	11	2	6	3	13:18	-5	12

Last Results with these Odds

Real Cundinamarca - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 36.58%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Santander
Colombian Primera B
04.02.26	Real Santander - Atlético Cali	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Patriotas - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
23.01.26	Real Santander - Real Cartagena	0:1 ✺
27.10.25	Real Santander - Atlético Huila	2:1 ✺
20.10.25	Internacional de Palmira - Real Santander	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLLWL
- Real Cundinamarca
Colombian Primera B
08.02.26	Real Cundinamarca - Leones	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Real Cundinamarca	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Real Cartagena - Real Cundinamarca	1:0 ✺
26.01.26	Real Cundinamarca - Envigado	0:2 ✺
02.12.25	Cúcuta Deportivo - Real Cundinamarca	3:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
26.07.25	Real Cundinamarca - Real Santander	2:0
15.02.25	Real Santander - Real Cundinamarca	3:4
29.07.24	Real Santander - Real Cundinamarca	0:1
10.02.24	Real Cundinamarca - Real Santander	4:2
11.10.23	Real Cundinamarca - Real Santander	0:1

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