Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Mosquera (Mosquera)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz, SportsEngine Play


	Real Cundinamarca		Unión Magdalena

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.87	2.75
	2.42	2.92	2.90	Watch
	2.63	2.96	2.95
	2.7	2.97	2.76	Watch
	2.70	2.90	2.70
	2.63	3.01	2.81	Watch
	2.39	2.85	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.6)	2.93 ↑ (2.8)	2.82 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Cundinamarca
35.9%

Draw
31.4%

Unión Magdalena
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

31.7%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

31.2%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Cundinamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Cundinamarca than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Real Cundinamarca - Unión Magdalena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Valencia M. (G) 20. Acosta O. 10. Amaya J. 19. Cortes J. 17. Cuellar K. 4. Florez S. 28. Rios C. 2. Suaza J. (C) 27. Uribe C. 23. Vidal K. 16. Zambrano C.	1. Cabezas V. (G) 7. Blanco R. 23. Congo J. 9. Iguaran C. 27. Lerma J. 3. Mera D. (C) 10. Mercado J. 6. Ortiz D. 5. Penaloza J. 16. Surmay O. 20. Vasquez J.
Substitutes
5. Cano A. 14. Castro B. 3. Estupinan J. 8. Gomez C. 12. Mosquera D. (G) 31. Obregon L. 7. Valencia Y.	24. Cervantes M. 22. Giraldo J. 8. Prado V. 21. Romero J. 25. Sagrera W. 28. Salazar K. 34. Tasso M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Cuellar K. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Blanco R. (Penalty Awarded),
30', Blanco R. 🟨,
39', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 2 - 1, Amaya J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 16).

Real Cundinamarca has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Unión Magdalena is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Unión Magdalena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Cundinamarca won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Cundinamarca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Cundinamarca	11	7	2	2	19:10	9	23
11	U. Magdalena	11	3	3	5	10:12	-2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Cundinamarca
Colombian Copa
09.09.26	Real Cundinamarca - Inter Bogotá	1:2 ✺
Colombian Primera B
03.09.26	Internacional de Palmira - Real Cundinamarca	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Real Cundinamarca - Patriotas	4:1 ✺
24.08.26	Orsomarso - Real Cundinamarca	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Leones - Real Cundinamarca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWWLT
- Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera B
05.09.26	Unión Magdalena - Barranquilla	1:2 ✺
01.09.26	Envigado - Unión Magdalena	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Unión Magdalena - Deportes Quindío	0:2 ✺
24.08.26	Tigres - Unión Magdalena	1:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
05.08.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Unión Magdalena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
11.03.26	Unión Magdalena - Real Cundinamarca	1:1
23.11.24	Unión Magdalena - Real Cundinamarca	2:0
28.10.24	Real Cundinamarca - Unión Magdalena	1:0
11.09.24	Unión Magdalena - Real Cundinamarca	1:0
04.04.24	Real Cundinamarca - Unión Magdalena	1:2

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