Match Info

Date: 30 January 2022, Sunday


	Real Jaén		Juventud de Torremolinos

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.9	2.05
	3.25	2.95	1.97
	3.35	3	2
	3.38	3.06	2.04
	3.48	3.3	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (3.34)	3.04 ↑ (2.81)	2.01 (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Jaén
26.4%

Draw
29.3%

Juventud de Torremolinos
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

30.9%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

23.6%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Juventud de Torremolinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Jaén that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Torremolinos than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventud de Torremolinos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Jaén - Juventud de Torremolinos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Jaén is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Juventud de Torremolinos in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Juventud de Torremolinos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Juventud de Torremolinos will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Jaén won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Jaén
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
26.01.22	Motril - Real Jaén	2:0 ✺
23.01.22	Atlético Porcuna - Real Jaén	0:0 ✺
16.01.22	Real Jaén - Torre Del Mar	3:1 ✺
19.12.21	Malaga B - Real Jaén	0:0 ✺
12.12.21	Real Jaén - UD San Pedro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTWTW
- Juventud de Torremolinos CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
23.01.22	Juventud de Torremolinos - Malaga B	2:1 ✺
19.01.22	Juventud de Torremolinos - El Palo	1:0 ✺
16.01.22	UD San Pedro - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:1 ✺
12.01.22	Huétor Vega - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:0 ✺
29.12.21	Juventud de Torremolinos - Torreperogil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
10.10.21	Juventud de Torremolinos - Real Jaén	4:1
14.04.19	Juventud de Torremolinos - Real Jaén	1:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
03.02.18	Juventud de Torremolinos - Real Jaén	1:0

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