Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 3

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV


	Real Madrid C		CD Guadalajara

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.55
	2.45	3.10	2.50
	2.52	3.05	2.52
	2.73	3.05	2.63
	2.67	3.03	2.62	Watch
	2.65	2.8	2.55
	2.64	2.88	2.55
	2.55	3.15	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.5)	3.02 ↑ (3)	2.56 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid C
34.8%

Draw
29.9%

CD Guadalajara
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

27.9%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid C than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Real Madrid C - CD Guadalajara Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guadalajara (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Diez Pagonessa C. J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 1 - 1, Bautista M. ⚽,

Preview

In recent outings, Real Madrid C has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Guadalajara is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Real Madrid C has faced a series of away games on the road.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Real Madrid C holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid C has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:3 (averaging 0.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Real Madrid C against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Guadalajara	5	1	2	2	8:9	-1	5
18	Real Madrid C	5	0	3	2	1:4	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid C
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.10.26	Atlético Paso - Real Madrid C	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Atlético Madrid C - Real Madrid C	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Talavera de la Reina - Real Madrid C	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Real Madrid C - Albacete B	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.08.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Real Madrid C	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLTTW
- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.10.26	CD Guadalajara - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:3 ✺
27.09.26	Numancia - CD Guadalajara	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	CD Guadalajara - Alcalá	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	CD Guadalajara - Salamanca	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
29.08.26	Conquense - CD Guadalajara	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.03.25	Real Madrid C - CD Guadalajara	1:1
19.10.24	CD Guadalajara - Real Madrid C	2:0

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