The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CD Guadalajara 49.7%
Draw 27.5%
Gimnástica Segoviana 22.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.8%
28.1%
27%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.3%
27.8%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
CD Guadalajara - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Sanchidrian R. ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, Leyva T. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', 0 - 3, Leyva T. ⚽,
63', 1 - 3, Juancho ⚽,
84', 2 - 3, Barry B. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', 3 - 3, Martinez D. ⚽,
90+5', Barry B. 🟥,
Preview
Guadalajara is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
G Segoviana has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
G Segoviana may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Guadalajara holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Guadalajara has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:6 (averaging 1.3:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Guadalajara against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).
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