Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 27

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Real Madrid C		Cacereño

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.8	2.5
	3.1	2.7	2.3
	3.35	2.85	2.23
	3.18	2.8	2.46
	3.12	2.93	2.35	Watch
	3.43	3.02	2.24
	3.35	2.85	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.91)	2.85 ↓ (2.89)	2.33 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid C
28.7%

Draw
32.1%

Cacereño
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

31.4%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

31.3%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid C than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Real Madrid C - Cacereño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Perez A. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
68', 1 - 0, Moya A. ⚽,
77', 1 - 1, Bernal J. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 2, Sancho J. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Real Madrid C is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cacereño is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Real Madrid C could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Madrid C won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid C
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.03.25	Talavera de la Reina - Real Madrid C	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Real Madrid C - CD Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Melilla - Real Madrid C	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Real Madrid C - Atlético Paso	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Colonia Moscardó - Real Madrid C	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TTWTL
- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.03.25	Cacereño - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Cacereño	1:3 ✺
23.02.25	Cacereño - Tenerife B	3:1 ✺
16.02.25	Cacereño - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	CD Guadalajara - Cacereño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.11.24	Cacereño - Real Madrid C	2:2

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