The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cacereño 27.1%
Draw 27.7%
Talavera de la Reina 45.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46%
28%
26%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.3%
27.2%
25.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cacereño's form might have worsened.
Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Talavera de la Reina's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+20.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cacereño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-19.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Talavera de la Reina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cacereño - Talavera de la Reina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Nieves D. (G) 22. Hernandez E. 21. Alonso J. 3. Barrio J. (C) 5. de Diego J. 17. Berlanga M. 10. Hyjek J. 6. Conesa N. 15. Monerris A. 7. Fernandez I. 9. Gomez D.
13. Belman (G) 11. Gallardo Rodriguez E. (C) 4. Lopez A. 5. Molina S. 20. Ferni 18. Capo P. 6. Pitu 16. Navarro I. 14. Molina A. 7. Di Renzo G. 9. Moreno M.
Substitutes
4. Crespo A. 23. El Goumiri O. 19. Gomez C. 16. Gutierrez D. 12. Kaptoum W. 2. Martinez Munoz I. 20. Palacin P. 13. Quevedo A. (G) 11. Sanchidrian R. 18. Sanchis R. 24. Valdera R. 25. Vazquez K.
15. Acosta L. 23. Farrando M. 1. Gonzalez J. (G) 21. Montero Sergio 24. Nordin M. 17. Ouacharaf B. 3. Roig A. 8. Sanchez L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Monerris A. ⚽,
12', Gomez D. ↓, Palacin P. ↑,
45+4', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Capo P. ↓, Montero Sergio ↑,
50', Gallardo Rodriguez E. 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Molina A. (Penalty Awarded),
57', Navarro I. ↓, Nordin M. ↑,
57', Molina A. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
64', Acosta L. 🟨,
70', Lopez A. ↓, Sanchez L. ↑,
73', Barrio J. 🟨,
75', 1 - 2, Di Renzo G. ⚽,
78', Fernandez I. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
78', Monerris A. ↓, Valdera R. ↑,
82', 🟨,
82', Conesa N. ↓, Crespo A. ↑,
82', Barrio J. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cacereño won 3.
Cacereño is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Talavera has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Talavera is a strong favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cacereño won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Cacereño won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
Spain
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Nieves D. (G) 
Hyjek J. 
Di Renzo G. 
El Goumiri O. 
Kaptoum W. 
Vazquez K. 
